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Texas A&M v Ole Miss

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Just the Stats: No. 10 Penn State vs No. 11 Ole Miss at the Peach Bowl

All the numbers behind this year’s bowl matchup for the Lions in Atlanta!

Photo by Justin Ford/Getty Images

No. 10 Penn St. Nittany Lions (10-2; 7-2 Big Ten East) vs No. 11 Mississippi Rebels (10-2; 6-2 SEC West)


12:00 p.m. ET, December 30, 2023—ESPN


Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Capacity: 71,000 / Atlanta, GA)


Tableizer using codebeautify.org
Penn State Value (Nat'l Rank) Value (Nat'l Rank) Ole Miss Advantage
Rushing Offense (ypg) 186.7 (25) 151.9 (69) Rushing Defense (ypg) new PSU logo
Passing Offense (ypg) 204.3 (91) 220.0 (59) Passing Defense (ypg)
Pass Efficiency 139.16 (56) 127.26 (43) Pass Efficiency Defense Push
Total Offense (ypg) 391.0 (T - 60) 371.9 (58) Total Defense (ypg) Push
Scoring Offense (ppg) 37.2 (12) 21.83 (35) Scoring Defense (ppg) Push
Rushing Defense (ypg) 69.7 (1) 178.8 (39) Rushing Offense (ypg) new PSU logo
Passing Defense (ypg) 153.6 (3) 276.6 (26) Passing Offense (ypg) Push
Pass Efficiency Defense 109.34 (8) 162.24 (11) Pass Efficiency Push
Total Defense (ypg) 223.2 (1) 455.4 (15) Total Offense (ypg) Push
Scoring Defense (ppg) 11.42 (3) 34.8 (19) Scoring Offense (ppg) Push
Punt Return Defense (ypr) 4.72 (27) 9.17 (60) Punt Return Yds (ypr) new PSU logo
Punt Return Yds (ypr) 10.77 (36) 9.93 (92) Punt Return Defense (ypr) new PSU logo new PSU logo
Net Punting Yds (ypp) 42.35 (10) 38.02 (84) Net Punting Yds (ypp) new PSU logo new PSU logo
Kickoff Return Yds (ypr) 24.07 (16) 14.55 (5) Kickoff Return Defense (ypr) Push
Kickoff Return Defense (ypr) 17.73 (35) 16.11 (120) Kickoff Return Yds (ypr) new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo
Turnover Margin +1.5 (1) +.75 (T - 12) Turnover Margin Push
Passes Had Intercepted (total) 1 (1) 12 (T - 29) Passes Intercepted (total) new PSU logo
Passes Intercepted (total) 12 (T - 29) 6 (T - 15) Passes Had Intercepted (total) Push
Penalty Yds/Game 42.75 (T - 24) 61.83 (111) Penalty Yds/Game new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo
Sacks (spg) 4.0 (1) 2.17 (T - 75) Sacks Allowed (spg) new PSU logo new PSU logo
Sacks Allowed (spg) 1.25 (T - 22) 2.83 (16) Sacks (spg) Push
Tackles for Loss (tpg) 8.4 (2) 6.83 (T - 106) Tackles for Loss Allowed (tpg) new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo
Tackles for Loss Allowed (tpg) 3.83 (10) 6.4 (26) Tackles for Loss (tpg) Push
Redzone Offense (% season) 95.1% (4) 84.2% (T - 75) Redzone Defense (% season) new PSU logo new PSU logo
Redzone Defense (% season) 90.0% (T - 112) 87.3% (43) Redzone Offense (% season)
Redzone TD % (season) 77.05% 63.16% Redzone TD % Defense (season) Push
Redzone TD % Defense (season) 50.0% 65.45% Redzone TD % (season) new PSU logo
3rd Down Conv. % (season) 40.8% (55) 39.0% (64) 3rd Down Defense % (season) Push
3rd Down Defense % (season) 29.2% (9) 36.9% (84) 3rd Down Conv. % (season) new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo
4th Down Conv. % (season) 79.2% (5) 40.7% (23) 4th Down Defense % (season) Push
4th Down Defense % (season) 47.1% (T - 50) 66.7% (T - 12) 4th Down Conv. % (season)
1st Downs (season) 271 (41) 244 (T - 66) 1st Downs Allowed (season) new PSU logo
1st Downs Allowed (season) 151 (1) 275 (T - 32) 1st Downs (season) new PSU logo
Time of Possession (mpg) 33 (10) 27 (122) Time of Possession (mpg) new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo
Strength of Schedule 58 39 Strength of Schedule Push
cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/4087442/Penn_State_Nittany_Lions.svg.0.png" target="_blank" style="text-decoration: underline; background-color: #ffffff;">new PSU logo

Difference >50 in National Rank = new PSU logonew PSU logo

Difference >75 in National Rank = new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo

Difference >100 in National Rank = new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo

Note:

All of the above rankings are taken directly from the NCAA except for strength of schedule, which is taken from Power Rankings.

The Redzone TD% and Redzone TD% Defense are calculated by me and not ranked by the NCAA. Determining who has the advantage in these categories is strictly my arbitrary judgment.

Quick thoughts:

That’s...a lot more chipmunk logos than I expected. I did expect mostly pushes but the differences on the line when our defense is on the field is a lot starker when looked at like this. Penn State’s defense will be the best that Ole Miss has faced all year (Georgia is good, but not as good as this defense) - so the question will likely be, how much will PSU miss Manny Diaz in this game?

A few additional thoughts:

  • Penn State has allowed only 20 trips inside the red zone by their opponents this season - fewest in the nation. Mississippi has allowed 38 red zone attempts
  • PSU has been in the red zone 61 times, to Ole Miss’s 55 trips
  • The Nittany Lions have faced 47 3rd down attempts, while the Rebels have faced 67
  • PSU has attempted 169 3rd downs to UM’s 157
  • The Ole Miss defense has faced 11 fourth down conversion attempts to Penn State defense’s 8 attempts faced
  • The Rebels have gone for it on 22 fourth downs, while the Nittany Lions have made 19 fourth down conversion tries
  • PSU opponents have returned 15 kickoffs with 54 touchbacks; UM opponents have returned 11 kickoffs with 66 touchbacks
  • Penn State has returned 15 kickoffs to Mississippi’s 18
  • The Nittany Lions have allowed 18 punt returns on 46 punts with 2 touchbacks. The Rebels have allowed 15 punt returns on 44 punts with 0 touchbacks.
  • PSU has returned 31 punts to UM’s 12

What say you all?

The Betting Line: Penn State -4 (Odds/lines subject to change. T&Cs apply. See draftkings.com/sportsbook for details.)

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